ARTYKUŁ
Climate risk and capital requirements – findings for the Polish banking sector based on empirical research
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1
Politechnika Białostocka, Polska
2
SGH Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie, Polska
3
University of Seville, Spain
Submission date: 2023-10-17
Final revision date: 2024-01-31
Acceptance date: 2024-05-15
Online publication date: 2024-09-30
Publication date: 2024-09-30
Ekonomista 2024;(3):249-274
KEYWORDS
JEL CLASSIFICATION CODES
ABSTRACT
This article addresses the consequences for Polish commercial banks of modifying capital requirements by adding an environmental
factor. Applying a simulation method, CRISK and MCRISK estimation, and a linear ordering method, the following conclusions were
drawn: (i) while it is reasonable to consider the way(s) in which climate risk may impact credit, market and operational risks in
scenario analyses, the lack of reliable historical data makes any calibration of GSF and BPF very difficult; (ii) simulating the implementation
of adjustments to the calculation of capital adequacy ratios by GSF and BPF should not significantly lower the Tier 1
ratio for the largest banks; (iii) large retail banks are characterised by relatively high rankings reflecting a combination of financial
characteristics (financial performance) and environmental (taxonomy) disclosures; and (iv) climate risk does not currently (2023) pose
an immediate threat to the Polish banking sector, although the risk of climate transformation is a factor of significant importance.
FUNDING
This work was supported by International Academic Partnership Programme No.
BPI/PST/2021/1/00011/U/00001 with the Polish National Agency for Academic
Exchange.