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The Economics of Football’s Global Transfer Market: Valuation Drivers Among Top 305 Transfers
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Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Poznaniu, Polska
Submission date: 2025-10-06
Final revision date: 2026-02-03
Acceptance date: 2026-03-23
Online publication date: 2026-05-06
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ABSTRACT
The football transfer market is one of the most dynamic areas of contemporary sport. The aim of this study is to examine the
determinants of transfer fees in the elite segment of the global football transfer market. The analysis is based on a dataset of 305
of the most expensive transfers between 2000 and 2023. Descriptive statistics, nonparametric tests, and hedonic regression models
with log-transformed variables and bootstrap procedures were applied. The results show that traditional sporting indicators, such
as goals and assists, have limited explanatory power within the elite segment of the market. Stronger associations are observed
for contextual factors, particularly transfers to Premier League clubs and social-media visibility measured by Instagram followers.
The results contribute to the debate on competitive balance and financial regulation in global football.